Post by greeme on Apr 28, 2014 11:47:36 GMT -5
2/3 of the season is over and a bunch of records are at risk of being broken. It is never easy to keep up a record pace so by the end of the season most of the records will still stand. But which ones?
Strikeouts per 9ip - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapk9.html
Ugueth Urbina
11.14 strikeouts in 1998
Matt Mantei currently is fanning batters at a record 11.2 clip. He has 10 velocity and a 13 k rating so it is not a fluke. On the other hand it is hard to keep that clip up over a whole season. I doubt that he does so.
Odds the record will be broken – 15%
oavg - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapoavg.html
Kerry Wood
.1527 oavg in 2000
I’m not sure how many innings are needed to be eligible but Armando Benitez and his .131 oavg are pretty amazing. That said relievers have so little margin for error, a few bad games can significantly change their yearly stats.
Odds the record will be broken – 20%
Oslg - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seaposlg.html
Kerry Wood
.2373 oslg in 2005
Armando again with .206. see what I said above.
Odds the record will be broken – 20%
wins - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapw.html
Kerry Wood
31 wins in 2006
Kerry the Krutch (yes Shale i know that crutch is with a C). I'm sick of his picture. Mark Buherle has 20 and even though Looper has 19 I think that Buherle is the only one with a real shot because he goes so late into games. Looper leaves earlier so has a lot less decisions and is less likely to get wins.
Odds the record will be broken – 20%
hits - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seabh.html
Reggie Jefferson
246 hits in 1997
Luis Rivas is leading the league currently with 169 hits . Ricky is second with 160 hits even though he has only played 99 games. Cano is at 158. Somebody would have to get and stay to break this record but with 3 guys in range it could happen.
Odds the record will be broken - 25%
triples - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seab3b.html
Ray Durham
16 triples in 2004
Juan Pierre
16 triples in 2001
Benjamin Schwartz and Eric Chavez are tied with 10 currently, one more than Jimmy Rollins. One of them could easily get hot and break the record. Or not.
Odds the record will be broken– 25%
Hits per 9ip - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seaph9.html
Kerry Wood
4.76 hits per 9ip in 2000
Armando Benitez is currently leading the league with 3.9. He is having an amazing season. This one will be slightly easier to break but not by much.
Odds the record will be broken– 25%
doubles - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seab2b.html
Matt Holliday
65 doubles in 2005
Big Daddy!!! 65 doubles is pretty awesome but considering 5 players have 41+ led by Cano with 45 there is a decent chance that one of them will pass him.
Odds the record will be broken = 30%
oobp - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapoobp.html
Jim Pittsley
.2141 oobp in 2001
Jake Peavy is currently leading the league with .187. It should be easier for him to hold on than a reliever but not by much.
Odds the record will be broken – 35%
Batting average - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seabavg.html
Albert Pujols
.4045 ba in 2005
Ricky Gutierrez is currently hitting .417. Ricky is on fire at age 37. He has hit over .400 every month except for June. He bounced back well in July and hit .505. Ricky has a big lead over Albert at the point and there is no reason to think that he will slow down anytime soon. I’m sure that Broph will figure out the exact amount he needs to break the record but I think he needs about .380 the rest of the way which is about 30 points higher than his best season batting average. Could go either way
Odds the record will be broken– 40%
cgs - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapcg.html
Pedro Martinez
19 cgs in 2000
Mark Buehrle already has racked up 16 cgs and if he keeps this up he will shatter the record and be the first pitcher with more than 20 cgs.
Odds the record will be broken – 90%
shutouts – bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapsho.html
Joseph Jackson
8 shutouts in 2004
Mike Mussina
8 shutouts in 2000
Buehrle already has 7 so this is the most likely record to fall.
Odds the record will be broken– 95%
Strikeouts per 9ip - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapk9.html
Ugueth Urbina
11.14 strikeouts in 1998
Matt Mantei currently is fanning batters at a record 11.2 clip. He has 10 velocity and a 13 k rating so it is not a fluke. On the other hand it is hard to keep that clip up over a whole season. I doubt that he does so.
Odds the record will be broken – 15%
oavg - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapoavg.html
Kerry Wood
.1527 oavg in 2000
I’m not sure how many innings are needed to be eligible but Armando Benitez and his .131 oavg are pretty amazing. That said relievers have so little margin for error, a few bad games can significantly change their yearly stats.
Odds the record will be broken – 20%
Oslg - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seaposlg.html
Kerry Wood
.2373 oslg in 2005
Armando again with .206. see what I said above.
Odds the record will be broken – 20%
wins - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapw.html
Kerry Wood
31 wins in 2006
Kerry the Krutch (yes Shale i know that crutch is with a C). I'm sick of his picture. Mark Buherle has 20 and even though Looper has 19 I think that Buherle is the only one with a real shot because he goes so late into games. Looper leaves earlier so has a lot less decisions and is less likely to get wins.
Odds the record will be broken – 20%
hits - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seabh.html
Reggie Jefferson
246 hits in 1997
Luis Rivas is leading the league currently with 169 hits . Ricky is second with 160 hits even though he has only played 99 games. Cano is at 158. Somebody would have to get and stay to break this record but with 3 guys in range it could happen.
Odds the record will be broken - 25%
triples - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seab3b.html
Ray Durham
16 triples in 2004
Juan Pierre
16 triples in 2001
Benjamin Schwartz and Eric Chavez are tied with 10 currently, one more than Jimmy Rollins. One of them could easily get hot and break the record. Or not.
Odds the record will be broken– 25%
Hits per 9ip - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seaph9.html
Kerry Wood
4.76 hits per 9ip in 2000
Armando Benitez is currently leading the league with 3.9. He is having an amazing season. This one will be slightly easier to break but not by much.
Odds the record will be broken– 25%
doubles - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seab2b.html
Matt Holliday
65 doubles in 2005
Big Daddy!!! 65 doubles is pretty awesome but considering 5 players have 41+ led by Cano with 45 there is a decent chance that one of them will pass him.
Odds the record will be broken = 30%
oobp - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapoobp.html
Jim Pittsley
.2141 oobp in 2001
Jake Peavy is currently leading the league with .187. It should be easier for him to hold on than a reliever but not by much.
Odds the record will be broken – 35%
Batting average - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seabavg.html
Albert Pujols
.4045 ba in 2005
Ricky Gutierrez is currently hitting .417. Ricky is on fire at age 37. He has hit over .400 every month except for June. He bounced back well in July and hit .505. Ricky has a big lead over Albert at the point and there is no reason to think that he will slow down anytime soon. I’m sure that Broph will figure out the exact amount he needs to break the record but I think he needs about .380 the rest of the way which is about 30 points higher than his best season batting average. Could go either way
Odds the record will be broken– 40%
cgs - bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapcg.html
Pedro Martinez
19 cgs in 2000
Mark Buehrle already has racked up 16 cgs and if he keeps this up he will shatter the record and be the first pitcher with more than 20 cgs.
Odds the record will be broken – 90%
shutouts – bbs56.net/BBSBL3/BBSBL3/CATO/lboards/seapsho.html
Joseph Jackson
8 shutouts in 2004
Mike Mussina
8 shutouts in 2000
Buehrle already has 7 so this is the most likely record to fall.
Odds the record will be broken– 95%