greeme
General Manager 
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 4:10:38 GMT -5
Now we are halfway done with the season and the wheat has separated from the chaff. Or vice versa. Not sure. Anyway off we go. edit - ignore the 4 and 5 in the poll. thx 10. Detroit Tigers -  Erbes preseason ranking – 9 Record: 50-31 All stars: RP C.j. Nitkowski Prediction: win the Central Gotta hurt seeing JD Drew over in Tampa but let’s face it, there is no way he would be putting up those stats in Detroit. They have a very solid top 3 in Hudson/Morris/Schmidt which could be dangerous in the playoffs. Roberts is leading the league in sbs and Mench is 10th in average but let’s be honest, their bats aren’t scaring anyone. If he wants to get out the first round then he better move some youth for a bat and maybe bring up Markakis and Zimmerman. 9. San Francisco Giants -  Erbes preseason ranking – 8 Record: 46-35 All stars: none Prediction: on the outside looking in Nice job spending 107 mil and not having any all stars. They do have Corey and Berkman who can both carry a team. On the downside they have a bunch of aging declining guys like fick, chipper, rumble, workman. Not really excited about this team but I guess that when they finally convert their relief pitchers they will improve but it won’t happen this year. Slightly better than average pitching and slightly lower than average hitting isn’t going to get him in the playoffs. 8. Colorado Rockies -  Erbes preseason ranking – 9 Record: 49-32 All stars: C Corey Hart, RF Juan Gonzalez, SS David Wright Prediction: win the West Does anyone really want Shale to beat out Spencer? I don’t think so but that won’t help much. Shale has put together a bunch of pitchers who aren’t getting smoked in Coors. I mean they are middle of the pack in pitching but that is solid considering. Shale’s best move was getting Corey Hart to have a good pd. David Wright is starting to be the player that Shale dreams about at night. Still I don’t see Shale getting out of the first round in the playoffs. 7. St Lous Cardinals -  Erbes preseason ranking – unranked Record: 53-28 All stars: P Carlos Zambrano, P Rafael Soriano, 2B Michael Young, 3B Joe Crede Prediction: 3rd in the east So Soriano is an all star? Meh. Would have been nice if he stayed in Tampa for cheap. Probably everybody pitches well in St. Louis so I’m assuming all their pitching stats are inflated and vice versa for their hitting stats. Michael Young is all over the NL leaderboard but they have neither the top tier talent nor the hitting depth to match up with the top teams. Zambrano is nice but Wells should only be a 3 and Cornejo should only be a 4. A nice team but not elite. Don’t see them getting into the playoffs. They would win the AL Central though. 6. Seattle Mariners -  Erbes preseason ranking – 4 Record: 52-29 All stars: P Francisco Rodriguez, P Aaron Fultz, C David Ross, CF Rondell White Prediction: wild card Hey Nanz – I’m stil waiting for answers to my questions…from last year. Meh. If you would have answered my questions I would have felt worse laughing when I saw Phillips’ bad pd. He is still really good though. His offense has been pretty sick and that is with A-Rod slumping. Rondell White has been an mvp candidate hitting .340 with 15 homers. Stud 4 man rotation anchored by 2 all stars, Fultz and K-Rod. K-rod was supposed to be the weak link of this staff but he has been a stud. Nobody will be surprised if they knock of the Devil Rays in round 1. 5. Florida Marlins -  Erbes preseason ranking – 6 Record: 55-26 All stars: P Will Cunnane, P Leon Sabin, P Ugueth Urbina, P Billy Wagner, SS Luis Rivas, RF Miguel Cabrera Prediction: win the East Really don’t know what to do with the top 5. They all look very good. The offense is really good with Kubel, Cabrera, Buck, Howard, and Rivas. Teams usually go to a 3 man rotation in 3 playoffs and the Marlins are set with Sabathia, Sabin, and Cunnane. I still think that they are weak in the bullpen and that will catch up with them eventually. They also have an mia gm which might hurt. Wouldn’t shock anybody if they lost in rd 1 or won the whole thins. 4. Pittsburgh Pirates -  Erbes preseason ranking – 3 Record: 55-26 All stars: P Joseph Jackson, P Mark Prior, 1B David Ortiz, RF Vladimir Guerrero Prediction: wild card Awesome pitching. Prior/Jackson/Affedlt might be the best 3 man rotation. I wonder how quickly Vlad’s hrs will go down after the pd hit. Relief pitching is meh although Schrumm should help in the playoffs. Hanley is having a down year and Akinori has been a disappointment. If those 2 get it together this team could be even better. I think that they will win in round one and lose in the 2nd round. 3. Tampa Bay Devil Rays -  Erbes preseason ranking – unranked (good job Erbes) Record: 58-23 All stars: P Braden Looper, P Mike Lincoln, P Chad Bradford, 1B Todd Helton, SS Jimmy Rollins, RF J.D. Drew, LF Matt Holliday Prediction: win the East 7 all stars is pretty impressive. Helton is the leading MVP candidate in the AL. Drew is leading the AL in hrs and rbis. Lincoln and Looper are both cy young candidates. Not sure who will be their 3rd starter in the playoffs. Pettyjohn is the likely choice although if Hendren keeps outpitching his ratings then it could be him. Or Gonzalez if he gets iris. Really a good team from top to bottom with extra pitching. Benningfield, Poarch and Bailey all are having down years but the rest of the lineup has been picking up the slack. I think that they will get through round 1 and then lose to Oakland. Very hard to beat an ace like Buerhle in the playoffs 2. Oakland Athletics -  Erbes preseason ranking – 1 Record: 56-25 All stars: P Mark Buehrle, P Carl Pavano, LF Carlos Lee, 2B Benedict Fugate Prediction: lose the World Series Larry Walker – you are 40. Bad pd and drop in ratings should be coming soon. If that happens then they A’s will be hard pressed to get by the Devil Rays. Carlos Lee is a stud and I really like Werth but top to bottom they don’t have the bats that the Devil Rays have. What they do have in Mark Buehrle. He can win 3 games by himself in a seven game series. Pavano has also pitched really well and seems to step up in the playoffs. Will Saito make it to the playoffs with a ratings hit? Does Broph have anybody else to pitch in relief if he does? He should probably move Quentin if he wants to cement his pennant but either way he is the favorite. 1. Chicago Cubs -  Erbes preseason ranking – 2 Record: 54-27 All stars: P Kerry Wood, C Edwin Bellorin, 1B Derrek Lee Prediction: win the World Series Only way to trump Buehrle is with Kerry “The Crutch” Wood. He has Derrick Lee and they steal a lot of bases but let’s face it – what sets the Cubs apart from the pack is The Crutch. Of course I can’t blame Play for keeping him around because if I had him I would never trade him either. |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:01:16 GMT -5
If that happens then they A’s will be hard pressed to get by the Devil Rays
lolol Greeme, you do realize I am sitting on an A Defense 7/7/6/0/8/4 Righty hitter (7/6/6/0/7/4 Lefty) with the same Defensive range and A speed (for doubles, not for steals) when Walker goes down...
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:04:19 GMT -5
LMAO at top to bottom dont have the bats Tampa has
hey, anybody know who is leading the AL in Runs (and the entire Majors, but you cant really compare the AL and NL there)? What about Batting average? Homers? Oh damn, thats me...right
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:14:32 GMT -5
Lets just go down the list:
Helton>>Johnson, no doubt there
Delrio==Drew
I'll give you Holliday over Lee
Both my CF's in Walker/Cobo have the edge on Gerut so far, though Gerut looks better (D is a different story, Gerut is a horrid CF range wise)
Werth>>>Poarch
Call Hernandez and Bailey a wash.
Fugate>>>>>>>>>>>>Matsui
Rollins>>>>>Cabrera (even if statistically its not that big of a gulf, I expect both to tail off, but Cabreras to be much sharper. hence looking at Punto to here)
Punto >>>Benningfield.
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 5:52:10 GMT -5
Lets just go down the list: Helton>>Johnson, no doubt there Delrio==Drew I'll give you Holliday over Lee Both my CF's in Walker/Cobo have the edge on Gerut so far, though Gerut looks better (D is a different story, Gerut is a horrid CF range wise) Werth>>>Poarch Call Hernandez and Bailey a wash. Fugate>>>>>>>>>>>>Matsui Rollins>>>>>Cabrera (even if statistically its not that big of a gulf, I expect both to tail off, but Cabreras to be much sharper. hence looking at Punto to here) Punto >>>Benningfield. disagree about delrio and hernandez |
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 5:52:55 GMT -5
LMAO at top to bottom dont have the bats Tampa has hey, anybody know who is leading the AL in Runs (and the entire Majors, but you cant really compare the AL and NL there)? What about Batting average? Homers? Oh damn, thats me...right didn't you just say that regular season means nothing? |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:53:06 GMT -5
Ill take the much better hits rating and homers rating over the extra walks. Stats wise Bailey and Hernandez are a wash right now.
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:53:40 GMT -5
LMAO at top to bottom dont have the bats Tampa has hey, anybody know who is leading the AL in Runs (and the entire Majors, but you cant really compare the AL and NL there)? What about Batting average? Homers? Oh damn, thats me...right didn't you just say that regular season means nothing? Once it comes playoff time it doesnt, but that doesn't mean I can't use the stats from it |
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 5:55:21 GMT -5
Ill take the much better hits rating and homers rating over the extra walks. Stats wise Bailey and Hernandez are a wash right now. ?? they have the same homers bailey has improved his ratings in the last few sims |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:56:41 GMT -5
There really is no arguing Hernandez vs. Bailey either, Doubles are basically a wash (4 vs. 5 means nothing really), Hits are a wash, Homers are a wash Walks are nice for Bailey, but Hernandez strikes out very little, which is why despite the disparity, the difference is only 6-7 for the season on average.
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 5:57:17 GMT -5
it would make more sense to list the batters 1-9 and not by position
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:57:49 GMT -5
Ill take the much better hits rating and homers rating over the extra walks. Stats wise Bailey and Hernandez are a wash right now. ?? they have the same homers bailey has improved his ratings in the last few sims ok then, well, Ill take the extra Hits hands down over walks |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:58:18 GMT -5
it would make more sense to list the batters 1-9 and not by position our philosphies massively differ, my 1-9 is not the same all around, so which do I choose? |
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 5:58:37 GMT -5
There really is no arguing Hernandez vs. Bailey either, Doubles are basically a wash (4 vs. 5 means nothing really), Hits are a wash, Homers are a wash Walks are nice for Bailey, but Hernandez strikes out very little, which is why despite the disparity, the difference is only 6-7 for the season on average. bailey is slightly better imo |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 5:59:08 GMT -5
there are far more Righty Pitchers in the league (though both of us throw two lefties funnily enough)
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 5:59:29 GMT -5
it would make more sense to list the batters 1-9 and not by position our philosphies massively differ, my 1-9 is not the same all around, so which do I choose? no, i meant list them in order of how good they are and compare them like that |
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 5:59:52 GMT -5
there are far more Righty Pitchers in the league (though both of us throw two lefties funnily enough) funnily indeed |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 6:00:32 GMT -5
There really is no arguing Hernandez vs. Bailey either, Doubles are basically a wash (4 vs. 5 means nothing really), Hits are a wash, Homers are a wash Walks are nice for Bailey, but Hernandez strikes out very little, which is why despite the disparity, the difference is only 6-7 for the season on average. bailey is slightly better imo how? because he takes 6-8 extra walks but strikesout more than twice as much? yeah, its a wash at best |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 6:01:23 GMT -5
our philosphies massively differ, my 1-9 is not the same all around, so which do I choose? no, i meant list them in order of how good they are and compare them like that my depth is far better than yours on that spectrum...my worst statistical batter has a .750 OPS... |
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 6:01:57 GMT -5
Helton vs lee
holliday vs Delrio
Drew vs werth
rollins vs punto
etc
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 6:02:33 GMT -5
with the trade for Werth that is now actually .723, but its not like he is gonna stay there
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 6:02:51 GMT -5
bailey is slightly better imo how? because he takes 6-8 extra walks but strikesout more than twice as much? yeah, its a wash at best his strikeouts just went up to good |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 6:03:29 GMT -5
Helton vs lee holliday vs Delrio Drew vs werth rollins vs punto etc you forgot somebody important in there. |
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Broph
General Manager
Oakland Athletics
Im no longer a shitty GM
Posts: 29,215
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Post by Broph on Apr 20, 2014 6:03:49 GMT -5
how? because he takes 6-8 extra walks but strikesout more than twice as much? yeah, its a wash at best his strikeouts just went up to good and yet rating wise he isnt going to magically become a 6/7 overnight |
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greeme
General Manager
San Diego Padres
Posts: 28,432
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Post by greeme on Apr 20, 2014 6:05:37 GMT -5
with the trade for Werth that is now actually .723, but its not like he is gonna stay there i have a bunch of guys who will likely improve. benningfield's ratings improved but his stats went down |
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